The Science Behind the Mission

Understanding Alzheimer's
Before It Begins

The TOMMORROW study established that prevention is possible — if we understand the science early enough. Explore the genetics, detection methods, and strategies that define the frontier of Alzheimer's research.

0
million Americans living
with Alzheimer's today
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years before symptoms,
biological changes begin
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of Alzheimer's risk is
influenced by lifestyle

Primary Risk Marker

The APOE Gene

The APOE geneApolipoprotein E — a gene with three common variants (e2, e3, e4). The e4 variant is the strongest known genetic risk factor for late-onset Alzheimer's, influencing how the brain clears amyloid protein. produces a protein that transports cholesterol in the brain. Its three variants carry dramatically different risk profiles. Select a genotype below to explore what the research shows.

Select an APOE genotype:

The Study's Namesake

The TOMM40 Gene

TOMM40 — Translocase of the Outer Mitochondrial Membrane 40 — is the direct scientific namesake of the TOMMORROW study. Located adjacent to APOE on chromosome 19, it encodes a protein critical to mitochondrial energy regulation in neurons.

A poly-T repeat within TOMM40 (rs10524523) offers a finer-grained prediction tool. "Very Long" repeat lengths are associated with earlier onset of MCIMild Cognitive Impairment — the earliest clinically detectable stage of cognitive decline. MCI does not significantly impair daily life but carries meaningful risk of progression to Alzheimer's dementia. in APOE e3 carriers — making individualized prevention timelines scientifically plausible for the first time.

Neurons are among the most energy-demanding cells in the body. When TOMM40 function is impaired, proteins that should enter mitochondria accumulate outside them — triggering cellular stress, inflammation, and neuronal death. This is a distinct pathway from amyloid, making TOMM40 a separate and potentially earlier therapeutic target.

TOMM40 poly-T analysis is not yet part of standard clinical testing. It has been used in research settings — including the TOMMORROW trial — and several academic medical centers offer it through research programs. Speak with a genetic counselor to explore research participation that includes this analysis.

The TOMMORROW Study

A Landmark in Predictive Genetics

The TOMMORROW study combined APOE and TOMM40 analysis to build a Biomarker Risk AlgorithmA validated statistical model combining genetic markers to estimate the probability and timing of MCI onset in cognitively healthy individuals. — one of the first validated attempts to predict MCI onset age in healthy adults before any symptoms appeared. Recognized by Emory University's Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, it marked a turning point: prevention was no longer theoretical. The TOMMORROW study gave researchers a window, and this collective was built to keep it open.

Beyond Single Genes

Polygenic Risk & What It Means for You

APOE and TOMM40 are the most studied markers, but Alzheimer's risk is polygenic. A Polygenic Risk ScoreA numerical score aggregating the effects of hundreds of genetic variants, each contributing a small amount to overall risk. PRS provides a more comprehensive picture than single-gene testing. (PRS) combines effects from hundreds of variants — including CLU, BIN1, PICALM, and SORL1 — to produce a composite estimate. PRS combined with lifestyle and biomarker data may eventually power individualized prevention protocols.

PRS models incorporate variants from GWAS studies analyzing over one million individuals. Key non-APOE variants include CLU (amyloid clearance), BIN1 (tau pathology), PICALM (amyloid transport), and CR1 (neuroinflammation) — each contributing a small but measurable effect to overall risk.

No. A PRS describes probability, not destiny. Many with high scores never develop Alzheimer's; some with low scores do. Risk scores are most powerful as tools for research enrollment and motivating prevention behaviors — not as definitive diagnoses. Genetic counseling is strongly recommended.

The Clinical Threshold

What Is MCI?

Mild Cognitive ImpairmentCognitive decline greater than expected for age and education, but not severe enough to interfere with daily activities. MCI is the earliest detectable clinical stage on the Alzheimer's continuum. sits at the boundary between normal aging and early Alzheimer's dementia. People with MCI notice memory slips, word-finding difficulty, or subtle reasoning changes — but retain full independence in daily life.

Approximately 15–20% of adults over 65 have MCI. Of these, 10–15% per year progress to Alzheimer's dementia — vs. 1–2% of cognitively healthy adults. The TOMMORROW study was built to target this window.

Normal aging involves gradual slowing that does not significantly worsen over time. MCI is distinguished by measurable decline on standardized tests — typically 1.5 standard deviations below age-adjusted norms — and a pattern that worsens over serial assessments. Forgetting where you put your keys is normal aging; forgetting what keys are for may signal something more.

In some cases, yes. MCI caused by depression, sleep apnea, thyroid dysfunction, or vitamin deficiencies can improve with treatment. Even for MCI on the Alzheimer's continuum, lifestyle interventions can slow progression — which is why early identification matters so much.

The Diagnostic Toolkit

Biomarkers in Practice

Modern Alzheimer's research relies on a suite of biomarkersBiological indicators that can be objectively measured to signal normal or abnormal processes. Key Alzheimer's biomarkers include amyloid and tau protein levels detectable via CSF or PET imaging. to detect disease years or decades before symptoms appear. Click each to explore.

Amyloid PET uses a radioactive tracer binding to amyloid plaques. A positive scan can precede cognitive symptoms by 10–20 years. FDA approval of lecanemab and donanemab has expanded its clinical use — a positive scan now directly informs treatment eligibility.

CSF analysis measures tau and phospho-tau with high sensitivity. Elevated p-tau217 is specific to Alzheimer's pathology. A lumbar puncture is required — invasive but highly accurate, and often used to confirm PET findings in clinical trials.

Plasma p-tau217 and the Abeta42/40 ratio identify Alzheimer's pathology with accuracy rivaling CSF and PET — at a fraction of the cost. These tests are becoming available through specialty centers and are expected to transform population-level screening within this decade.

Standardized batteries — including the ADAS-Cog, MoCA, and the TOMMORROW neuropsychological protocol — measure memory, attention, language, and executive function. Serial testing over time is more informative than any single snapshot, capturing the trajectory that distinguishes disease from normal variance.

How Prevention Trials Are Designed

From Enrollment to Endpoint

Phase 1 — Screening and Risk Stratification

Participants undergo APOE/TOMM40 genotyping, a neuropsychological baseline assessment, and biomarker profiling. Eligibility is defined by risk-stratification algorithms like the TOMMORROW approach — identifying cognitively healthy adults statistically likely to develop MCI within a defined window.

Phase 2 — Randomization

High-risk participants are randomized double-blind to drug or placebo. Cognitive testing is administered every six months measuring executive functionCognitive processes including working memory, flexible thinking, and self-control. Executive function deficits are among the earliest detectable signs of Alzheimer's-related cognitive change. and episodic memory.

Phase 3 — Longitudinal Biomarker Monitoring

Biomarkers are reassessed annually. Amyloid PET or CSF sampling confirms whether the agent is engaging its target — distinguishing symptomatic benefit from true disease modification.

Primary Endpoint

For prevention trials, the gold standard is a significant delay in MCI diagnosis measured relative to predicted onset from the baseline risk algorithm. A drug delaying onset by two years compresses the disease's total burden significantly at a population level.

Lifestyle Interventions

The Evidence-Based Foundation

Evidence from the FINGER trial and WHO guidelines establishes that modifiable lifestyle factors can meaningfully reduce dementia risk. These are not cure claims. They represent risk reductionA statistical decrease in the probability of developing a disease, measured against an untreated control group. Risk reduction shifts the probability favorably without guaranteeing prevention. with real clinical significance. Select any card to learn more.

Aerobic Exercise
150 min/week associated with up to 45% lower dementia risk
Physical activity increases BDNF, promotes hippocampal neurogenesis, and improves cerebral blood flow. The EXERT trial showed moderate aerobic exercise slowed cognitive decline in MCI patients over 12 months. Walking, swimming, and cycling all qualify.
Cognitive Engagement
Lifelong learning builds cognitive reserve, delaying symptom onset
Cognitive reserve is the brain's capacity to compensate for damage before symptoms emerge. Education, demanding occupations, language learning, and complex leisure activities build this reserve. Higher reserve delays the point at which biology becomes biography.
MIND Diet
Mediterranean-DASH hybrid linked to slower cognitive decline
The MIND diet emphasizes leafy greens, berries, nuts, olive oil, whole grains, and fish. Strict adherence reduced Alzheimer's risk by ~53% in a Rush University study; moderate adherence by ~35%. The mechanism involves reduced neuroinflammation and amyloid burden.
Sleep Quality
Deep sleep drives glymphatic clearance of amyloid protein
During deep non-REM sleep, the glymphatic system flushes amyloid-beta. Sleep deprivation below 6 hours raises dementia risk ~30%. Sleep apnea — common and often undiagnosed — is a highly treatable risk factor.
Social Connection
Strong social networks consistently linked to lower incidence
Loneliness is associated with 40–50% increased dementia risk. Social engagement activates neural circuits and reduces stress hormones that damage the hippocampus. Quality matters more than quantity.
Vascular Health
Controlling BP, blood sugar, and cholesterol reduces risk directly
Up to 40% of Alzheimer's cases involve a vascular component. Midlife hypertension and Type 2 diabetes significantly elevate late-life risk. Managing these conditions reduces both vascular dementia and Alzheimer's — the overlap is greater than previously understood.

The Research Pipeline

Investigational Drug Landscape

Alzheimer's drug development has shifted decisively toward prevention and early intervention — the precise approach pioneered by the TOMMORROW study. Click any row to expand details.

AgentMechanismTarget StagePhase
LecanemabAnti-amyloid monoclonal antibody targeting protofibrilsEarly / MCIApproved
Lecanemab (Leqembi) received full FDA approval in 2023 based on the CLARITY AD trial, showing 27% slowing of clinical decline over 18 months. Administered intravenously every two weeks, it requires amyloid PET or CSF confirmation for eligibility — and its approval validated the amyloid hypothesis for disease-modifying therapy.
DonanemabAnti-amyloid antibody targeting N3pG-Abeta plaquesEarly SymptomaticApproved
Donanemab (Kisunla) received FDA approval in 2024, showing 35% slowing of decline in the TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 2 trial. Uniquely, treatment stops after plaque clearance is confirmed — making it the first Alzheimer's therapy designed with a defined endpoint rather than indefinite dosing.
Semaglutide (AD trials)GLP-1 receptor agonist; neuroprotective and anti-inflammatoryPre-symptomaticPhase III
Semaglutide is in Phase III prevention trials, driven by observational data showing lower dementia rates in GLP-1 agonist users. Proposed mechanisms include reduced neuroinflammation and improved brain insulin signaling. EVOKE and EVOKE PLUS trial results are anticipated by 2027.
Tau VaccinesActive immunotherapy targeting tau protein aggregationPre-clinical / MCIPhase II
Tau pathology correlates most closely with cognitive decline and remains a major frontier beyond amyloid. Active tau vaccines train the immune system to clear pathological tau. ACI-35.030 and AADvac1 are the most advanced candidates, showing early tolerability and immunogenicity.
APOE4 ModulatorsGene-targeted therapy reducing APOE4 neurotoxicityGenetic High-RiskPhase I/II
APOE4 modulators aim to convert the APOE4 protein to behave like the benign APOE3 variant using antisense oligonucleotides. These are the most genetically targeted approach in the pipeline — most directly relevant to individuals identified as high-risk through the TOMMORROW biomarker algorithm.

Primary Literature & Key Studies

Research Deep-Dive

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